Thursday, November 01, 2007

Runway Challenge Week 10: Post Halloween edition

No real notes coming out of the Thursday Randy Edsall teleconference. No new injuries, no changes on the depth chart to announce, the team is still focused and not getting swelled heads.

A couple random notes before I update my bowl projections and then onto the weekly picks.

  • For those without tickets and ESPNU looking for a place to watch the game Saturday night, got a memo from Sports Haven, a massive bar/OTB center located on Long Wharf here in New Haven. They will be broadcasting the UConn game on their movie theater-sized screen. Parking and admission are free. As a bonus, you can always make a bet on Chachi Arcola to show in the eighth race at Arlington during a TV time out.

  • OK. If you owned a race horse, what would you name it? If it's me, of course, I would go for comedy value. It would have to be something to get a laugh as announcer Dave Johnson is calling the stretch run at a Triple Crown race. Chachi Arcola isn't bad. But here's my top five: 5) Feech LaManna: Was just watching season 5 of the Sopranos on A&E...Robert Loggia's character made a brief but memorable run. 4) Dave: Nothing's better than an animal/pet named Dave. 3) C'monIwannaLayYa: "Making a move on the outside, it's C'monIwannaLayYa." 2) Why the Long Face? Punchline for every horse-related joke ever written. 1) Serenity Now. Frank Costanza's mantra is fit for a Kentucky Derby champ.
  • I usually spend a good portion of the evening hours on Oct. 30 out on my deck with a cigar and my satellite radio. Partially to relax, and partially to serve as a deterrent to the kids who plaster the neighborhood with toilet paper every year on the night before Halloween. OK. I admit it. I did the same thing growing up every Mischief Night, as we called it. Actually, we did a lot worse. Live frogs in mailboxes, soap on car windows, even flaming bags of dog pooh (a gag that no one ever fell for). But if I can avoid having to do any additional cleaning in my yard, well, I'm all for it. The last three years, while on watch, there was never an incident. This year, I let my guard down and awoke to a ticker-tape parade of TP in my trees and streamed across that very deck I spend so much time on. Gutsy little bastards. Guess I had it coming. But a warning. I'll be out on the deck again next year.

An update on my bowl projections. Again, I am using ultra-conservative predictions.

CINCINNATI (6-2, 1-2)

11/3: at South Florida (L)
11/10: UConn (L)
11/17: West Virginia (L)
11/24: at Syracuse (W)
Predicted record: 7-5 (2-5 Big East)


UCONN (7-1, 3-0)

11/3: Rutgers (W)
11/10: at Cincinnati (W)
11/17: Syracuse (W)
11/24: at West Virginia (L)
Predicted record: 10-s (6-1)

LOUISVILLE (5-4, 2-2)

11/8: at West Virginia (L)
11/17: at South Florida (L)
11/29: Rutgers (W)
Predicted record: 6-6 (3-4)

PITTSBURGH (3-5, 1-2)
11/3: Syracuse (W)
11/17: at Rutgers (L)
11/24: South Florida (L)
12/1: West Virginia (L)
Predicted record: 4-8 (2-5)

RUTGERS (5-3, 2-2)

11/3: at UConn (L)
11/9: at Army (W)
11/17: Pitt (W)
11/29: at Louisville (L)
Predicted record: 7-5 (3-4)

SOUTH FLORIDA (6-2, 1-2)

11/3: Cincinnati (W)
11/10: at Syracuse (W)
11/17: Louisville (W)
11/24: at Pitt (W)
Predicted record: 10-2 (5-2)

SYRACUSE (2-5, 1-2)

11/3: at Pitt (L)
11/10: South Florida (L)
11/17: at UConn (L)
11/24: Cincinnati (L)
Predicted record: 2-9 (1-6)

WEST VIRGINIA (7-1, 2-1)

11/8: Louisville (W)
11/17: at Cincinnati (W)
11/24: UConn (W)
12/1: Pitt (W)
Predicted record: 11-1 (6-1)

Which would make the Big East standings as follows:

1. West Virginia (6-1), wins tiebreaker, auto BCS
2. UConn (6-1)
3. South Florida (5-2)
4. Rutgers (3-4)
4 (tie). Louisville (3-4)
6. Cincinnati (2-5)
6 (tie). Pitt (2-5)
8. Syracuse (1-6)

And the bowl shake out

BCS
BCS National Championship game: LSU vs. Ohio State
Rose Bowl: Oregon vs. West Virginia
Orange Bowl: Boston College vs. Missouri
Sugar Bowl: Georgia vs. Hawaii
Fiesta: Oklahoma vs. USC

The rest of the Big East

Sun Bowl: UConn vs. UCLA
Meineke Car Care Bowl: South Florida vs. Clemson
Papajohns.com Bowl: Rutgers vs. Southern Mississippi
International Bowl: Louisville vs. Ball State
Armed Forces Bowl: Cincinnati vs. Air Force

For UConn, best-case scenario is to win out and earn a BCS bid, though its possible going 3-1, with a loss to WVU, could be enough for an at-large. More realistic best-case scenario: Go 3-1 and get Sun Bowl. Realistic worst-case scenario: Go 2-2 and make Charlotte or International Bowl (Sun also possible). Worst-case scenario: The Huskies beat only Syracuse and lose the rest, or just lose the rest: International Bowl or Birmingham bowl.

On to the picks:

Game 1: OHIO STATE (-16) over Wisconsin
Game 2: Wake Forest (-1) over VIRGINIA
Game 3: PITTSBURGH (-13) over Syracuse
Game 4: Texas (-3) over OKLAHOMA STATE
Game 5: Cincinnati (+5) over SOUTH FLORIDA
Game 6: Michigan (-4) over MICHIGAN STATE
Game 7: Louisiana State (-7) over ALABAMA
Game 8: Missouri (-4) over COLORADO
Game 9: Arizona State (+7.5) over OREGON
Game 10: Rutgers (+2) over UCONN (why break superstition. again, you'll thank me later)
Game 11: BOSTON COLLEGE (-7) over Florida State
Game 12: Oregon State (+15) over SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
Game 13: YALE (-16) over Brown -- Included to keep Sean O'Rourke happy

Get your picks in this week. Click the "comments" key at the bottom of this post, then cut and paste the template.

Last week's results (rough one all around)
1. Sammy 7-3-1
2. Mitch 6-4-1
3. Pete 5-5-1
SeanO's Ghost 5-5-1
kooch 5-5-1
ian 5-5-1
7. Detroittigershater 4-6-1
Will L 4-6-1
luc 4-6-1
Caleb Mandrake 4-6-1
11. Chip 3-7-1
Vinny from East Haven (who has been very quiet during the Huskies run) 3-7-1
Sturge-rock 3-7-1

Overall standings

1. SeanO's ghost 59
2. Ian 58
3. Kooch 56
Sammy 56
5. Chip 51
6. Vinny from East Haven 49
7. Will L 48
8. DetroitTigersHater 47
9. Caleb Mandrake 46
10. Pete 42
11. Dan 41
Kevin 37
13. sturge-rock 25
14. Mitch Kumpstein 22
Alex 16
16. Steve P 8
P.J. 8
18. Luc 4

17 Comments:

Blogger Chip Malafronte said...

Chip's picks
Game 1: OHIO STATE (-16) over Wisconsin
Game 2: Wake Forest (-1) over VIRGINIA
Game 3: PITTSBURGH (-13) over Syracuse
Game 4: Texas (-3) over OKLAHOMA STATE
Game 5: Cincinnati (+5) over SOUTH FLORIDA
Game 6: Michigan (-4) over MICHIGAN STATE
Game 7: Louisiana State (-7) over ALABAMA
Game 8: Missouri (-4) over COLORADO
Game 9: Arizona State (+7.5) over OREGON
Game 10: Rutgers (+2) over UCONN
Game 11: BOSTON COLLEGE (-7) over Florida State
Game 12: Oregon State (+15) over SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
Game 13: YALE (-16) over Brown

November 01, 2007 5:28 PM 
Anonymous SeanO'sGhost said...

Chip,

What's the deal with the Gator Bowl?

I thought the GB's agreement with the Big East was that it takes the second place Big East OR Notre Dame. Why is the Gator suddenly out of the Big East equation?

Not sure what the money for the Sun Bowl is but I know the Gator was nearly $1 million per team, making it quite lucrative. Certainly, the Gator is more prestigious than the Sun and located in lucrative Big East recruiting ground. And Jacksonville has to be considered a beter trip than Old El Paso.

Ghost

November 01, 2007 6:58 PM 
Blogger Chip Malafronte said...

Someone hasn't been reading the print edition.

The Gator and Sun have similar four-year deals where each can take two Big East teams or Notre Dame to play ACC (Gator) or Pac-10 (Sun) opponents.

Gator isn't out of the picture, but since it took a Big East team last year, and since Notre Dame (considered the jackpot) has no chance this season, that means if they take a Big East team again this season they won't have any shot at getting Notre Dame (or another Big East team) the next two years.

November 01, 2007 7:49 PM 
Anonymous SeanO'sGhost said...

Chip,

I'm protesting the newstand price hike. Can't afford the 75 cents! I could see a five cent increase to 55 or even 10 to 60 but 25 cents? Geesh! It's not gasoline.

Anyway, seems to me that if Texas finishes third in the Big 12 that Sun Bowl is a natural fit for them. Other possibilities are Oklahoma State, Misszou and K-State. Any of these teams in the Gator and a Big East team (Connecticut, Rutgers, South Florida) in El Paso is illogical.

Oh well, that's my rant. Here's the picks.


Game 1: OHIO STATE
Game 2: VIRGINIA
Game 3: Syracuse
Game 4: Texas
Game 5: SOUTH FLORIDA
Game 6: Michigan
Game 7: ALABAMA
Game 8: Missouri (-4) over COLORADO
Game 9: OREGON
Game 10: CONNECTICUT
Game 11: Florida State
Game 12: SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
Game 13: Boola Boola

November 01, 2007 11:31 PM 
Anonymous Sammy said...

Game 1: OHIO STATE
Game 2: Wake Forest
Game 3: Syracuse
Game 4: OKLAHOMA STATE
Game 5: SOUTH FLORIDA
Game 6: Michigan
Game 7: Louisiana State
Game 8: Missouri
Game 9: OREGON
Game 10: UCONN
Game 11: Florida State
Game 12: Oregon State
Game 13: YALE

November 02, 2007 9:49 AM 
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Kooch picks
Game 1: OHIO STATE
Game 2: VIRGINIA
Game 3: Syracuse
Game 4: OKLAHOMA STATE
Game 5: Cincinnati
Game 6: Michigan
Game 7: Louisiana State
Game 8: Missouri
Game 9: OREGON
Game 10: UCONN
Game 11: Florida State
Game 12: SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
Game 13: Brown

November 02, 2007 10:38 AM 
Blogger Sturge-Rock said...

Eric's picks
Game 1: OHIO STATE over Wisconsin
Game 2: Wake Forest over VIRGINIA
Game 3: Syracuse over Pittsburgh
Game 4: Texas over OKLAHOMA STATE
Game 5: SOUTH FLORIDA over Cincinnati
Game 6: Michigan over MICHIGAN STATE
Game 7: Louisiana State over ALABAMA
Game 8: Missouri over COLORADO
Game 9: OREGON over Arizona State
Game 10: UCONN over Rutgers
Game 11: BOSTON COLLEGE over Florida State
Game 12: SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA over Oregon State
Game 13: YALE over Brown
GO HUSKIES!

November 02, 2007 10:39 AM 
Anonymous caleb mandrake said...

Game 1: OHIO STATE
Game 2: Wake Forest
Game 3: Syracuse
Game 4: Texas
Game 5: SOUTH FLORIDA
Game 6: Michigan
Game 7: Louisiana State
Game 8: Missouri
Game 9: OREGON
Game 10: Rutgers
Game 11: BOSTON COLLEGE
Game 12: Oregon State
Game 13: YALE

November 02, 2007 12:38 PM 
Anonymous Mitch Kumpstein said...

Game 1: Wisconsin
Game 2: VIRGINIA
Game 3: PITTSBURGH
Game 4: OKLAHOMA STATE
Game 5: SOUTH FLORIDA
Game 6: Michigan
Game 7: ALABAMA
Game 8: COLORADO
Game 9: ASU
Game 10: UCONN
Game 11: BOSTON COLLEGE
Game 12: SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
Game 13: Brown

November 02, 2007 1:16 PM 
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Game 1: OHIO STATE
Game 2: Wake Forest
Game 3: PITTSBURGH
Game 4: Texas
Game 5: SOUTH FLORIDA
Game 6: Michigan
Game 7: ALABAMA
Game 8: Missouri
Game 9: Arizona State
Game 10: Rutgers
Game 11: BOSTON COLLEGE
Game 12: Oregon State
Game 13: Brown
-- PJ

November 02, 2007 2:31 PM 
Anonymous Pete said...

Game 1: OHIO STATE
Game 2: VIRGINIA
Game 3: PITTSBURGH
Game 4: Texas
Game 5: SOUTH FLORIDA
Game 6: Michigan
Game 7: Louisiana State
Game 8: Missouri
Game 9: OREGON
Game 10: UCONN
Game 11: BOSTON COLLEGE
Game 12: Oregon State
Game 13: Brown

November 02, 2007 3:48 PM 
Blogger Ian said...

Game 1: OHIO STATE
Game 2: Wake Forest
Game 3: PITTSBURGH
Game 4: OKLAHOMA STATE
Game 5: SOUTH FLORIDA
Game 6: Michigan
Game 7: Louisiana State
Game 8: Missouri (-4) over COLORADO
Game 9: Arizona State
Game 10:UCONN
Game 11: BOSTON COLLEGE
Game 12: Oregon State
Game 13: YALE

November 02, 2007 5:53 PM 
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Picks By Tonto Kowalski(just in case you are interested):

Game 1: Thee OSU
Game 2: VIRGINIA
Game 3: Cuse
Game 4: OSU
Game 5: SOUTH FLORIDA
Game 6: Michigan
Game 7: Bama to Cover
Game 8: Missouri They win on 6th Down
Game 9: OREGON
Game 10: UCONN 22-15 (I Like the Score)
Game 11: BOSTON COLLEGE
Game 12: USC
Game 13: Yale


You can bet on it. . .

November 02, 2007 8:54 PM 
Anonymous Anonymous said...

OHIO STATE
VIRGINIA
PITTSBURGH
Texas
SOUTH FLORIDA
Michigan
Louisiana State
Missouri
OREGON
UCONN
Florida State
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
Brown

Will L

November 02, 2007 9:35 PM 
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Jerry
Game 1: Wisconsin
Game 2: VIRGINIA
Game 3: Syracuse
Game 4: OKLAHOMA STATE
Game 5: SOUTH FLORIDA
Game 6: MICHIGAN STATE
Game 7: ALABAMA
Game 8: COLORADO
Game 9: OREGON
Game 10: UCONN
Game 11: Florida State
Game 12: SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
Game 13: Brown

November 02, 2007 10:42 PM 
Anonymous luc said...

Game 1: OHIO STATE
Game 2: Wake Forest
Game 3: PITTSBURGH
Game 4: OKLAHOMA STATE
Game 5: SOUTH FLORIDA
Game 6: Michigan
Game 7: Louisiana State
Game 8: Missouri (-4) over COLORADO
Game 9: Arizona State
Game 10:UCONN
Game 11: BOSTON COLLEGE
Game 12: Oregon State
Game 13: YALE

November 02, 2007 10:43 PM 
Anonymous Vinny from East Haven said...

Vinny's picks:
1. Wisconsin
2. Wake Forest
3. Syracuse
4. Texas
5. South Florida
6. Michigan
7. LSU
8. Colorado
9. Oregon
10. Rutgers
11. Boston College
12. Southern Cal
13. Yale

November 03, 2007 8:53 AM 

Post a Comment

Subscribe to Post Comments [Atom]

<< Home