Thursday, November 06, 2008

Runway Challenge Week 11

The Runway Challenge continues during the UConn bye week. But first, let me update my bowl projections because little went according to plan last weekend.

UCONN (6-3, 2-2)
11/15: at Syracuse (W)
11/23: at South Florida (L)
12/6: Pittsburgh (W)
Predicted record: 8-4 (4-3)

CINCINNATI (6-2, 2-1)
11/8: at West Virginia (L)
11/14: at Louisville (L)
11/22: Pittsburgh (W)
11/29: Syracuse (W)
12/6: at Hawaii (W)
Predicted record: 9-4 (4-3)

PITTSBURGH (6-2, 2-1)
11/8: Louisville (W)
11/22: at Cincinnati (L)
11/28: West Virginia (L)
12/6: at UConn (L)
Predicted record: 7-5 (3-4)

SYRACUSE (2-6, 1-3)
11/8: at Rutgers (L)
11/15: UConn (L)
11/22: at Notre Dame (L)
11/29: at Cincinnati (L)
Predicted record: 2-10 (1-6)

WEST VIRGINIA (6-2, 3-0)
11/8: Cincinnati (W)
11/22: at Louisville (W)
11/28: at Pittsburgh (W)
12/6: South Florida (W)
Predicted record: 10-2 (7-0)

SOUTH FLORIDA (6-3, 1-3)
11/15: Rutgers (W)
11/23: UConn (W)
12/6: at West Virginia (L)
Predicted record: 8-4 (3-4)

LOUISVILLE (5-3, 1-2)
11/8: at Pittsburgh (L)
11/14: Cincinnati (W)
11/22: West Virginia (L)
12/4: at Rutgers (W)
Predicted record: 7-5 (3-4)

RUTGERS (3-5, 2-2)
11/8: Syracuse (W)
11/15: at South Florida (L)
11/22: Army (W)
12/4: Louisville (L)
Predicted record: 5-7 (3-4)

Which would make the Big East standings:
1. West Virginia 10-2 (7-0)
2. UConn 8-4 (4-3)
Cincinnati 9-4 (4-3)
4. Louisville 7-5 (3-4)
USF 8-4 (3-4)
Pitt 7-5 (3-4)
Rutgers 5-7 (3-4)
8. Syracuse 2-10 (1-6)

And the Big East bowl shake-out (this is also the order the bowls choose):
Orange Bowl: West Virginia vs. Georgia Tech
Gator Bowl: Notre Dame vs. Florida State
Meineke Car Care Bowl: Cincinnati vs. Wake Forest
International Bowl: UConn vs. Western Michigan
PapaJohns.com Bowl: Louisville vs. Troy
St. Petersburg Bowl: South Florida vs. Marshall
Independence Bowl: Pitt vs. Arkansas State

A few random notes and observations from the past week.
  • My frustration has reached its point of no return with politicians, which is why I can't even bring myself to discuss politics anymore (especially on the blog). But I can't read another story about how Connecticut's U.S. Rep. Chris Shays (R) -- defeated while seeking his 11th-term -- was the victim of the sweeping change led by Barack Obama. No. Shays lost because he made a complete fool of himself in front of millions during the Roger Clemens-Brian McNamee Congressional hearing back in February. Shays embarrassed himself and the state with his vicious attack on McNamee and unabashed boot-licking of Clemens. Not that I condone what McNamee did, but Shays' rambling, head-scratching tirade was totally over the top. That, more than anything, forced him out. Good riddance.


  • Every once in a while, I stumble upon the A&E Network's re-runs of The Sopranos. The shows are edited for content. Allegedly. The language is edited...even the word "ass" is dubbed over. But, A&E has no problem showing things like Tony Soprano blowing his cousin away with a shotgun, or Christopher Moltisanti shooting up heroin in his car. Odd.

  • Speaking of the Soprano's, I was overruled in my idea for my son's Halloween costume. My plan was to dress him in a valour sweatsuit, with a pair of white shoes and his hair slicked back with white wings. The perfect Paulie Walnuts ensemble! But the wife wouldn't go for it. "We're not dressing our 1-year old up as a mobster!!" she said. So, he was Superman. Maybe next year.

Next Halloween, Mr. Gaultieri. I promise. And say hello to your mother for me.

On to the picks:

Game 1: Syracuse (+14) over RUTGERS

Game 2: Georgia Tech (+4) over NORTH CAROLINA

Game 3: TEXAS TECH (-3.5) over Oklahoma State

Game 4: BOSTON COLLEGE (-3.5) over Notre Dame

Game 5: Alabama (-3) over LSU

Game 6: WEST VIRGINIA (-7) over Cincinnati

Game 7: Louisville (+6) over PITTSBURGH

Game 8: SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA (-21) over California

Game 9: NORTHWESTERN (+10.5) over Ohio State

Game 10: Virginia (+3.5) over WAKE FOREST

Game 11: Southern Connecticut State (+3) over AMERICAN INTERNATIONAL: Always nice to schedule the same opponent twice in the regular season. AIC won back in September. Southern clinches fourth straight Division II playoff berth with a win.

Last week's results

1. JZ 10-2 (impressive)

2. dougo 9-3 (consistent)

3. Gary 7-5 (late to the party, showing his stuff)

Pete 7-5 (on the rebound)

SeanO 7-5 (over .500 again)

sammy 7-5 (that 1-10 week is a distant memory)

caleb 7-5 (making his move)

8. chip 6-6 (unimpressive once again)

rich 6-6 (figuring out the spreads nicely)

den 6-6 (miss his commentary)

vinny 6-6 (still near top despite recent struggles)

12. huskybarker 5-7 (making his debut)

ian 5-7 (a better blogger than prognosticator...not a bad thing)

uconnhuskies86 5-7 (working way out of basement)

15. dano 3-9 (had better weeks)

16. wil 2-10 (might need a hug)

standings

1. Dougo 59

2. Caleb Mandrake 58

3. Vinny from East Haven 56

4. JZ 55

5. ian 54

Rich 54

Pete 54

8. Chip 53

9. Kevin 51

Den of Stupidity 51

11. DanO 44

Sammy 44

Sean O 44

14. Wil 40

15. Gary 36

16. uconnhuskies 86 34

17. Stretch 21

18. Big Donny Bertolotti 13

19. HuskyBarker 5

Get your picks in by clicking "comments" below.

30 Comments:

Blogger Chip Malafronte said...

Chip's picks
Game 1: Syracuse (+14) over RUTGERS
Game 2: Georgia Tech (+4) over NORTH CAROLINA
Game 3: TEXAS TECH (+3.5) over Oklahoma State
Game 4: BOSTON COLLEGE (-3.5) over Notre Dame
Game 5: Alabama (-3) over LSU
Game 6: WEST VIRGINIA (-7) over Cincinnati
Game 7: Louisville (+6) over PITTSBURGH
Game 8: SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA (-21) over California
Game 9: NORTHWESTERN (+10.5) over Ohio State
Game 10: Virginia (+3.5) over WAKE FOREST
Game 11: Southern Connecticut State (+3) over AMERICAN INTERNATIONAL

November 06, 2008 2:37 PM 
Anonymous pete said...

Game 1: Syracuse
Game 2: NORTH CAROLINA
Game 3: TEXAS TECH
Game 4: BOSTON COLLEGE
Game 5: Alabama
Game 6: WEST VIRGINIA
Game 7: PITTSBURGH
Game 8: SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
Game 9: Ohio State
Game 10: WAKE FOREST
Game 11: Southern Connecticut State

November 06, 2008 3:03 PM 
Anonymous Gary said...

Game 1: Rutgers
Game 2: UNC
Game 3: Texas Tech
Game 4: Boston College
Game 5: LSU
Game 6: WVU
Game 7: Pittsburgh
Game 8: USC
Game 9: Ohio State
Game 10: UVA
Game 11: American International

November 06, 2008 3:04 PM 
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I would be winning if I hadn't missed a week. Anyway to make it up?

JZ's picks:

Rutgers
G-Tech
Texas Tech
ND
Alabama
WVU
L-ville
USC
Ohio State
Wake
American International

November 06, 2008 3:59 PM 
Blogger Chip Malafronte said...

Cash. Gifts. I can be bought.

But seriusly, I need to get back into it too, JZ. Maybe I'll run a super-bonus week with double the games or confidence points or something.

Actually, because of the bye week, I think there may be a few who forget to get picks in this week. We'll see.

November 06, 2008 4:06 PM 
Anonymous Wil's picks said...

Wil's picks
(Don't need a hug, just yet)

Game 1: Syracuse
Game 2: Georgia Tech
Game 3: TEXAS TECH
Game 4: BOSTON COLLEGE
Game 5: Alabama
Game 6: Cincinnati
Game 7: Louisville
Game 8: California
Game 9: Ohio State
Game 10: Virginia
Game 11: Southern Connecticut State

Glad that Ginny from East Haven is dropping.

November 06, 2008 4:32 PM 
Anonymous Wil's Picks's said...

Wil's Picks, no hugs needed, yet.
Game 1: Syracuse
Game 2: Georgia Tech
Game 3: TEXAS TECH
Game 4: BOSTON COLLEGE
Game 5: Alabama
Game 6: Cincinnati
Game 7: Louisville
Game 8: California
Game 9: Ohio State
Game 10: Virginia
Game 11: Southern Connecticut State

November 06, 2008 4:34 PM 
Anonymous Den said...

First, a few things....first and foremost, agreed on Shays. All throughout election night coverage, all I could think of was his PATHETIC display carrying Roger's water. An utter disgrace. Secondly, you really needed to man up on the wife. That costume would've ruled. Lastly, wtf with Notre Dame?!?!?!? They're 5-3 with a good probably of going 7-5. No 7-5 team should play in a New Year's Day Bowl. Case closed. The Irish may be the easiest team to hate this side of Duke basketball. All about money with them. Shame on Hathaway for caving to them on the "home" games. Rutgers told them to go pound sand, and so should we have. A 7-5 team in the Gator Bowl. What a joke. Enough of my soap-box. Onto the picks....

Cuse +14 - I just can't lay 14 points with Rutgers. Even after the blowout at Pitt.

UNC -4 - Is Yates or Sexton playing? Doesn't matter. Heels by a touch.

Texas Tech - Do you have the line wrong on this one? How can Tech be getting 3.5 at home as the #2 team in the land? Getting 3 or laying 3, I like the Raiders in this one. Big.

BC -3.5 - Given my druthers, I'd rather not pick either of them. Not enough bad things can happen in this game for me. Pray for heavy rain. And again, wtf....ND can play at that dump of a stadium up there in Chestnut Hill, but they can't come to The Rent?????

LSU +3 - This one makes me nervous. LSU got pounded by Florida and Georgia. Will they continue to lie down? Not with Saban coming back to town.

WVU -7 - Mountaineers are starting to look like the team they were projected to be. Still, of all the Big East teams, by far the most obnoxious fans to deal with at The Rent.

Louisville +6 - Too many points. Cards will be hungry after getting embarassed at Cuse.

USC - -21 - Gun to my head, they are the best team in the land.

Northwestern +10.5 - Boring Big Ten slugfest.

Wake -3.5 - One of the most remarkable turn arounds of the year. Cavs looked like the worst team in the country after the Huskies pounded them. Hats off to Al Groh.

SCSU +3 - 2 games in one year? Really?

Bet you now regret stating you missed my commentary......

November 06, 2008 4:55 PM 
Blogger Chip Malafronte said...

I put the wrong line on the Texas Tech game. They're giving 3.5. Don't think that should have much affect on anyone's picks, but change them now if need be.

Den, love the chatter. Knew you had it in you.

November 06, 2008 5:04 PM 
Anonymous Sean O said...

Game 1: RUTGERS
Game 2: Georgia Tech
Game 3: Oklahoma State
Game 4: Notre Dame
Game 5: Alabama
Game 6: WEST VIRGINIA
Game 7: PITTSBURGH
Game 8: California (USC ain't that good)
Game 9: Ohio State
Game 10: WAKE FOREST
Game 11: AMERICAN INTERNATIONAL

November 06, 2008 5:25 PM 
Anonymous Gary said...

Chip, this is just thinking outloud, or typing as the case may be, but maybe you could give double points one week if you pick underdogs to win outright.

It may not work, because then everyone would just pick the dogs and try to get the points. But for instance, last week I would have been willing to take Syracuse without the points if there were a bonus incentive. Maybe you lose two and win two, risk reward type deal.

Then again, that'd be a major pain for you to keep up with.

Also, there's no way any costume could beat this one (thats from deadspin btw)

November 06, 2008 6:59 PM 
Anonymous Kevin said...

D'oh. There goes my shot at the win. Oh well.

Game 1: Rutgers (-14) over Syracuse
Game 2: UNC (-4) over Georgia Tech
Game 3: Okie State (-3.5) over Texas Tech
Game 4: Notre Dame (+3.5) over BCU
Game 5: Alabama (-3) over LSU
Game 6: WVU (-7) over Cincinnati
Game 7: Pitt (-6) over Louisville
Game 8: USC (-21) over Cal
Game 9: Ohio State (-10.5) over N'western
Game 10: Wake (-3.5) over UVa
Game 11: Southern (-3) over AIC

November 06, 2008 7:41 PM 
Blogger Chip Malafronte said...

I'll come up with something interesting.

Gary, that picture from deadspin in hilarious.

November 06, 2008 7:44 PM 
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Game 1: Syracuse
Game 2: Georgia Tech
Game 3: TEXAS TECH
Game 4: BOSTON COLLEGE
Game 5: Alabama
Game 6: Cincinnati
Game 7: PITTSBURGH
Game 8: SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
Game 9: Ohio State
Game 10: WAKE FOREST
Game 11: AMERICAN INTERNATIONAL

Sammy

November 06, 2008 8:12 PM 
Anonymous Vinny from East Haven said...

Vinny's picks:
1. Rutgers.
2. Georgia Tech.
3. Texas Tech.
4. Notre Dame.
5. Alabama.
6. West Virginia
7. Pittsburgh.
8. Cal.
9. Ohio State.
10. Wake Forest.
11. SCSU.

A lot of overrated coaches who couldn't hack it in the NFL in the picks this week. Charlie Wuss, Nick Satan, Dave Wannabe, Pete "Can't win the small one" Carroll, and Al "Thank god for Rich Kotite" Groh. I hate picking for ANY of these chumps.

No UConn commentary this week, except that I think everyone's being a little optomistic about a possible win over Pitt. Either way, I guess this bunch of ridiculously glorified Huskies is bound for a bowl, where quite possibly a mid-range MAC team will whip their a**.

My two cents on a "super week" with double the points: a bit unfair for us faithful blog readers and an obvious attempt by the delusional UConn fans to keep me from the top of the standings. That being said, BRING IT ON.

November 07, 2008 9:32 AM 
Blogger strike it Rich! said...

Rich's picks
Game 1: Syracuse
Game 2: NORTH CAROLINA
Game 3: TEXAS TECH
Game 4: Notre Dame
Game 5: Alabama
Game 6: WEST VIRGINIA
Game 7: Louisville
Game 8: SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
Game 9: NORTHWESTERN
Game 10: WAKE FOREST
Game 11: Southern Connecticut State

November 07, 2008 10:25 AM 
Blogger Dan said...

Danoooo's picks
Game 1: Syracuse
Game 2: Georgia Tech
Game 3: Oklahoma State
Game 4: BOSTON COLLEGE <---why can't they both lose
Game 5: LSU
Game 6: WEST VIRGINIA
Game 7: Louisville
Game 8: California
Game 9: Ohio State
Game 10: WAKE FOREST
Game 11: AMERICAN INTERNATIONAL


WOW...I really sucked last week...would you beleive me if I said I was trying to lose...nah, I didn't think so.

November 07, 2008 11:30 AM 
Anonymous caleb mandrake said...

Game 1: Syracuse
Game 2: NORTH CAROLINA
Game 3: TEXAS TECH
Game 4: Notre Dame
Game 5: Alabama
Game 6: WEST VIRGINIA
Game 7: Louisville
Game 8: California
Game 9: Ohio State
Game 10: WAKE FOREST
Game 11: AMERICAN INTERNATIONAL

November 07, 2008 11:45 AM 
Blogger Chip Malafronte said...

jddupuis posted this under a different entry on the blog. I believe he meant to leave it here, since it's in regard to my bowl projections. It's an interesting question, but I believe the answer is simple. My answer follows. Thanks for the question, jddupuis.

JD said:
You forget to ponder Notre Dame's projected W/L for the rest of the season:
11/08: at Boston College (L)
11/15: at Navy (L)
11/22: Syracuse (W)
11/29: @ USC (L)
Predicted record: 6-6

Even with the prospect of a big gate, why would the Gator Bowl take a horrible 6-6 Notre Dame team over a 9-4 Cincinnati or 8-4 UConn team? ND's best win would be over a 5-7 Stanford team!

November 07, 2008 3:32 PM


Chip Malafronte said...
JD,

The one and only thing that matters is money. Period. Why do you think they've shunned an 8-team tournament to crown the national champions? Money, money and more money. If there's money to be made, the hell with everything else, including a logical format to determine a national champ and the better matchup for the Gator Bowl. Mark my words: if Notre Dame gets the sixth win, they will go to the Gator.

November 07, 2008 4:30 PM

November 07, 2008 4:33 PM 
Anonymous Den said...

Well said Chip. Exactly right. All about the money. So much for the pure competitive spirit of college athletics. I alluded to this in my rantings this week. It's an absolute disgrace. Under no circumstances will I ever attend one of these upcoming "home" games against the Irish.

One other thing....when is Vinny going to realize that nobody cares or is insulted by his non-sensical ramblings? And if he did win control of the blog for a day, nobody would read it. Except for Chip, who would be forced to edit the content and correct the East Havener's grammatical shortcomings.

November 07, 2008 5:13 PM 
Blogger Chip Malafronte said...

Vinny does have a point. I'm thrilled there's been such strong participation in the challenge this year (in 2006, the first year I did this, I think we had four regulars who picked every week). But those who haven't missed a week shouldn't be penalized.

I may just bump the number of games from 11 to 14 or 15 for the final few weeks, but bonuses and double points probably isn't fair.

November 07, 2008 6:43 PM 
Anonymous Gary said...

Chip,
Isn't there some kind of stipulation in the Gator Bowl that says if Notre Dame is two games worse than the 2nd Big East team, they aren't allowed to leapfrog the Big East team.

For instance, 6-6 Notre Dame can not play in a bowl instead of 8-4 Connecticut/Cincy/Pitt or whomever.

But if its 8-4 to 7-5 then it's fair game.

I've read this on the 4-letter's Big East Blog, so I assume it's at least somewhat accurate.

Also, one question, what are the potential starting times for the Pitt game 12/6...I have a 20 person tailgate to plan!

November 07, 2008 9:49 PM 
Blogger Chip Malafronte said...

Gary,

I don't believe that rule is in place anymore. My understanding is that clause was dropped in the last round of negotiations because it made it a tougher for the Gator and Sun to actually get ND (who used to be a good bet for a BCS bowl).

But I will try and get the official word from the Big East in the next couple of days.

No clue on the Pitt start time. I just can't figure these TV guys out. The West Virginia game is at noon, but Syracuse is at 7? Huh? Would have thought it'd be the other way around. So, who knows for Pitt. My guess is it will be 7, but I haven't checked to see what other big games are that day.

November 07, 2008 10:29 PM 
Anonymous Anonymous said...

UConnHuskies86 Picks
Game 1: RUTGERS
Game 2: NORTH CAROLINA
Game 3: TEXAS TECH
Game 4: BOSTON COLLEGE
Game 5: LSU
Game 6: WEST VIRGINIA
Game 7: PITTSBURGH
Game 8: SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
Game 9: NORTHWESTERN
Game 10: WAKE FOREST
Game 11: Southern Connecticut

November 07, 2008 10:39 PM 
Anonymous Ian said...

Game 1: Syracuse
Game 2: Georgia Tech
Game 3: TEXAS TECH
Game 4: Notre Dame
Game 5: Alabama
Game 6: Cincinnati
Game 7: Louisville (+6)
Game 8: SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
Game 9: NORTHWESTERN (+10.5)
Game 10: Virginia (+3.5)
Game 11: Southern Connecticut State (+3)

November 08, 2008 8:55 AM 
Anonymous big donny bertolotti said...

1. Rutgirls
2. Tech
3. TT
4. BC
5. Bama
6. Cinci
7. Pitt
8. USC
9. OSU
10. UVA
11. SCSU

November 08, 2008 9:21 AM 
Anonymous Dougo said...

Game 1: Syracuse over Rutgers
Game 2: UNC over GTech
Game 3: Texas Tech over Okie State
Game 4: BC over Notre Dame
Game 5: Bama over LSU
Game 6: WVU over Cincy
Game 7: Pitt over Louisville
Game 8: Cal over USC
Game 9: Northwestern over OSU
Game 10: UVA over Wake Forest
Game 11: SCSU over AIC

November 08, 2008 9:46 AM 
Blogger Chip Malafronte said...

results
1. vinny from east haven 8-3
big donny bertolotti 8-3
pete 8-3
4. dougo 7-4
uconnhuskies 86 7-4
sammy 7-4
kevin 7-4
wil 7-4
9. gary 6-5
sean o 6-5
caleb mandrake 6-5
12. rich 5-6
den 5-6
JZ 5-6
15. chip 4-7
dano 4-7
ian 4-7

November 09, 2008 11:55 AM 
Blogger Chip Malafronte said...

standings
1. Dougo 66
2. Caleb Mandrake 64
Vinny from East Haven 64
4. Pete 62
5. JZ 60
6. Rich 59
7. ian 58
kevin 58
Chip 58
10. Den of Stupidity 56
11. Sammy 51
12. Sean O 50
13. DanO 48
14. Wil 47
15. Gary 42
16. uconnhuskies 86 41
17. Big Donny Bertolotti 21
Stretch 21
19. HuskyBarker 5

November 09, 2008 11:59 AM 
Anonymous Sean O said...

Chip,

For your Pitt TV question: http://mattsarz44017.tripod.com/2008/week15.html I think it'll depend on the WVU/Pitt game and which team will be playing for the Big East title. Bigger game goes at night.

As for UConn/Syracuse at 7pm...I think ESPN regional picks first, then ESPNU gets the next game. I think...wouldn't make any sense for ESPNU to pick UConn/Syracuse.

November 10, 2008 10:02 AM 

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