Thursday, September 20, 2007

Runway Challenge Week 4

Guess there wasn't much meat to the Thursday teleconference with Randy Edsall. I was running a few minutes late, logged onto the call at approximately 1:05 p.m. (five minutes after its scheduled start) and it was already over. Granted, the Thursday call never goes very long: 15 minutes tops, but a four-minute call? That's quick. Checked in with Leigh Torbin in the UConn sports info office to see if I had the wrong number for the call or it was changed to a later time. Nope. It went that fast. About all the info was Ryan Henegan has been practicing with the second team. Nothing on Dan Ryan (no one asked, Leigh said) and no big changes for Saturday.

And with that, we move on to the Runway Challenge. I noticed Syracuse was a 37-point underdog to Louisville this week, and began wondering about big point spreads. What was the largest ever in a college game? Who was the biggest underdog to win outright? Has anyone ever won after being 37-point dogs?

I found this info isn't easy to research, but here's what I found. In 1985, Oregon State was a 38-point underdog (the lines ranged from 36-38) against Washington and pulled out a 21-20 victory for what is widely considered the biggest point-spread reversal ever: even bigger than Appalachian State-Michigan (which was 27-points on a certain Internet sports book).

Nothing concrete on the largest single point spread, but Southern Cal was recently favored by 46.5 over a Pac-10 opponent. And this week Hawaii is favored by 52 points (52!!!) over Division I-AA Charleston Southern. That's like spotting them seven touchdowns and a field goal. Sadly, Hawaii could have that covered by halftime. If anyone knows of a bigger spread in any game, let me know.

Game 1: Syracuse (+37) over LOUISVILLE: Cards defense has too many holes (they gave up 42 to Middle Tennessee State, for Pete's sake). Have to think 'Ville will need to score 60 to cover. And, again, it could very well happen. How sad is Syracuse?

Game 2: SOUTH FLORIDA (-13.5) over North Carolina: Bulls jump into AP top 25 despite not playing last week. Coach Jim "Mr. Excitement" Leavitt celebrated by switching from Sanka to decaf. He also indulged in a dish of unflavored ice cream (his favorite).

Game 3: WEST VIRGINIA (-24.5) over East Carolina: Noel Devine's stats against Maryland last week...five carries, 136 yards, no touchdowns. That's an average of 27.2 yards per carry, raising his season total to 15.1 yards per carry. With Slaton and White, that's scary.

Game 4: MICHIGAN (+3) over Penn State: Combined age of Joe Paterno and Lloyd Carr? 142.

Game 5: Kentucky (+7) over ARKANSAS: Kentucky's Andre Woodson quietly turning into one of the SEC's best quarterbacks. Arkansas quarterback Casey Dick still has the worst-selling team jersey in the nation.

Game 6: Connecticut (+10) over PITT: Huskies go from 31-point faves to 10-point dogs in a week. By the way, Dave Wannestedt's moustache posted on the blog a couple days ago and wanted to know why I've been mocking him. Got nothin' against you, Dave Wannestedt's moustache. In fact, I'm extending the olive branch by growing my own Wannestache, which I'll be sporting for the game in Pittsburgh Saturday night. Hope that squares us, Dave Wannestedt's moustache.

Game 7: CINCINNATI (-24) over Marshall: Bearcats and USF will give Big East five ranked teams very shortly.

Game 8: ALABAMA (-3.5) over Georgia: Tide will roll.

Game 9: WISCONSIN (-8) over Iowa: Hawkeyes had trouble with Northern Illinois and lost to Iowa State. Oh, they also pummelled Syracuse. Not exactly a promising start.

Game 10: Washington (+7) over UCLA: Huskies burned me last week. I'll give 'em one more chance.

Game 11: Central Connecticut State University (+26.5) over WESTERN MICHIGAN: My alma mater gets a taste of Division I-A competition. They might win this one outright.

Here are the results from last week
1. vinny from east haven 9-2-1
2. seano's ghost: 8-3-1
ian 8-3-1
4. chip 7-4-1
5. kooch 6-5-1
sturge-rock 6-5-1
will L: 6-5-1
alex 6-5-1
9. dan 5-6-1
detroittigershater 5-6-1
sean o: 5-6-1
sammy 5-6-1
13. caleb 4-7-1
14. kevin 3-8-1

overall standings through three weeks
1. DetroitTigersHater 21
Ian 21
SeanO's Ghost 21
4. Chip 20
5. Sammy 19
Vinny from East Haven 19
7. kooch 18
8. Kevin 14
9. sturge-rock 12
10. Wil L 11
11. Caleb Mandrake 10
12. Alex 10
13. pete 9
14. Steve P 8
15. dan 5

Get your picks in. Click on the "comments" icon below, then cut and paste the template inside.

20 comments:

  1. Chips picks
    Game 1: Syracuse (+37) over LOUISVILLE
    Game 2: SOUTH FLORIDA (-13.5) over North Carolina
    Game 3: WEST VIRGINIA (-24.5) over East Carolina
    Game 4: MICHIGAN (+3) over Penn State
    Game 5: Kentucky (+7) over ARKANSAS
    Game 6: Connecticut (+10) over PITT
    Game 7: CINCINNATI (-24) over Marshall
    Game 8: ALABAMA (-3.5) over Georgia
    Game 9: WISCONSIN (-8) over Iowa
    Game 10: Washington (+7) over UCLA
    Game 11: Central Connecticut State University (+26.5) over WESTERN MICHIGAN

    ReplyDelete
  2. Game 1: Syracuse
    Game 2: SOUTH FLORIDA
    Game 3: WEST VIRGINIA
    Game 4: MICHIGAN
    Game 5: Arknasas

    Game 6: Connecticut
    Game 7: Marshall
    Game 8: ALABAMA
    Game 9: WISCONSIN
    Game 10: Washington
    Game 11: Central Connecticut State University

    ReplyDelete
  3. Sammys picks
    Game 1: LOUISVILLE
    Game 2: SOUTH FLORIDA
    Game 3: WEST VIRGINIA
    Game 4: Penn State
    Game 5: ARKANSAS
    Game 6: PITT
    Game 7: CINCINNATI
    Game 8: ALABAMA
    Game 9: WISCONSIN
    Game 10: UCLA
    Game 11: Central Connecticut State University

    ReplyDelete
  4. SeanO's Ghost

    Game 1: Syracuse (+37) over LOUISVILLE: Chip, Syracuse is bad but look at the sked! If they played UConn's sked they'd be 3-0 right now.
    Game 2: SOUTH FLORIDA (-13.5) over North Carolina: You're way too hard on Coach Leavitt, perhaps the best college coach in the game. I can think of someone else in the Big East that says less.
    Game 3: WEST VIRGINIA over East Carolina.
    Game 4: Penn State (-3) over Michigan: Joe Pa's Lions end 12-game losing streak.
    Game 5: ARKANSAS over Kentucky.
    Game 6: PITT over Connecticut. More revenge here.
    Game 7: CINCINNATI (-24) over Marshall. Bearcats could win the Big East if it wasn't for Leavitt's BCS bound Bulls.
    Game 8: ALABAMA (-3.5) over Georgia
    Game 9: WISCONSIN (-8) over Iowa
    Game 10: UCLA over Washington.
    Game 11: WESTERN MICHIGAN over Central Connecticut State: There's a line on this game?

    ReplyDelete
  5. SeanO's Ghost

    Game 1: Syracuse (+37) over LOUISVILLE: Chip, Syracuse is bad but look at its sked! If they played UConn's sked they'd be 3-0 right now.
    Game 2: SOUTH FLORIDA (-13.5) over North Carolina: You're way too hard on Coach Leavitt, perhaps the best college coach in the game. I can think of someone else in the Big East that says less.
    Game 3: WEST VIRGINIA over East Carolina.
    Game 4: Penn State (-3) over Michigan: Joe Pa's Lions end 12-game losing streak.
    Game 5: ARKANSAS over Kentucky.
    Game 6: PITT over Connecticut. More revenge here.
    Game 7: CINCINNATI (-24) over Marshall. Bearcats could win the Big East if it wasn't for Leavitt's BCS bound Bulls.
    Game 8: ALABAMA (-3.5) over Georgia
    Game 9: WISCONSIN (-8) over Iowa
    Game 10: UCLA over Washington.
    Game 11: WESTERN MICHIGAN over Central Connecticut State: There's a line on this game?

    ReplyDelete
  6. Where's the chubby palp that is BCAlum/Vinny eh? Nothing says "dork" like spending half you life on the Internet.

    Syracuse will cover vs. Louisville. CCSU will make a strong showing in Kalamazoo.

    ReplyDelete
  7. Kooch's picks
    Game 1: Syracuse
    Game 2: SOUTH FLORIDA
    Game 3: WEST VIRGINIA
    Game 4: Penn State
    Game 5: Kentucky
    Game 6: Connecticut
    Game 7: CINCINNATI
    Game 8: Georgia
    Game 9: WISCONSIN
    Game 10: UCLA
    Game 11: WESTERN MICHIGAN

    ReplyDelete
  8. SeanO's ghost: I agree Leavitt may be the best coach in the game. Unbelievable, in fact. He's also so stiff, they drive him to games in a Hearse.

    (I may have used that joke before. Sorry, it's late).

    ReplyDelete
  9. Game 1: LOUISVILLE
    Game 2: SOUTH FLORIDA
    Game 3: WEST VIRGINIA
    Game 4: Penn State
    Game 5: ARKANSAS
    Game 6: Connecticut
    Game 7: CINCINNATI
    Game 8: Georgia
    Game 9: WISCONSIN
    Game 10:Washington
    Game 11:Central Connecticut

    ReplyDelete
  10. Eric's picks
    Game 1: Syracuse over LOUISVILLE
    Game 2: SOUTH FLORIDA over North Carolina
    Game 3: WEST VIRGINIA over East Carolina
    Game 4: Penn State over Michigan
    Game 5: Kentucky over ARKANSAS
    Game 6: Connecticut over PITT
    Game 7: CINCINNATI over Marshall
    Game 8: ALABAMA over Georgia
    Game 9: WISCONSIN over Iowa
    Game 10: Washington over UCLA
    Game 11: Central Connecticut State University over WESTERN MICHIGAN

    GO HUSKIES!

    ReplyDelete
  11. Mandrake picks
    Game 1: LOUISVILLE
    Game 2: North Carolina
    Game 3: East Carolina
    Game 4: Penn State
    Game 5: ARKANSAS
    Game 6: PITT
    Game 7: CINCINNATI
    Game 8: ALABAMA
    Game 9: WISCONSIN
    Game 10: UCLA
    Game 11: Central Connecticut State University

    ReplyDelete
  12. Game 1: Syracuse
    Game 2: SOUTH FLORIDA
    Game 3: WEST VIRGINIA
    Game 4: Penn State
    Game 5: Kentucky
    Game 6: PITT
    Game 7: CINCINNATI
    Game 8: ALABAMA
    Game 9: WISCONSIN
    Game 10: Washington
    Game 11: WESTERN MICHIGAN

    ReplyDelete
  13. Pete's picks:
    Game 1: Syracuse
    Game 2: SOUTH FLORIDA
    Game 3: WEST VIRGINIA
    Game 4: Penn State
    Game 5: ARKANSAS
    Game 6: Connecticut
    Game 7: Marshall
    Game 8: Georgia
    Game 9: WISCONSIN
    Game 10: UCLA
    Game 11: Central Connecticut State University

    ReplyDelete
  14. Game 1: LOUISVILLE
    Game 2: North Carolina
    Game 3: WEST VIRGINIA
    Game 4: Penn State
    Game 5: ARKANSAS
    Game 6: Connecticut
    Game 7: CINCINNATI
    Game 8: Georgia
    Game 9: WISCONSIN
    Game 10: UCLA
    Game 11: WESTERN MICHIGAN

    ReplyDelete
  15. Yikes. Rough week.

    Covers in CAPS

    Louisville 49, SYRACUSE 14
    South Florida 31, NORTH CAROLINA 21
    West Virginia 35, EAST CAROLINA 17
    PENN STATE 27, Michigan 20
    ARKANSAS 45, Kentucky 35
    Pittsburgh 24, UCONN 17
    CINCINNATI 42, Marshall 17
    ALABAMA 28, Georgia 24
    WISCONSIN 34, Iowa 13
    WASHINGTON 33, Ucla 30
    Western Michigan 34, CENTRAL 14

    ReplyDelete
  16. LOUISVILLE - Greg Robinson won't finish the season

    SOUTH FLORIDA - 13.5 points is not enough respect, should be favored by 21

    WEST VIRGINIA

    Penn State


    ARKANSAS

    Connecticut

    CINCINNATI

    ALABAMA

    WISCONSIN

    UCLA

    CCSU

    Wil L

    ReplyDelete
  17. Vinny "The Man" From East Haven's picks:
    1. Louisville
    2. South Florida
    3. West Virginia
    4. Penn State
    5. Arkansas
    6. Pitt (easy pick here)
    7. Marshall
    8. Alabama
    9. Wisconsin
    10. UCLA
    11. Western Michigan

    I'm picking Western Michigan because after last week's horrendus debacle in East Hartford, I will never pick another Connecticut team again. That is, until you start allowing us to pick the Trinity games.
    How bad will UConn get beat tomorrow? I can only say it will be UGLY. Gawd does this bunch stink. You can smell the stench all the way in East Haven.

    ReplyDelete
  18. LOUISVILLE - Greg Robinson won't finish the season

    SOUTH FLORIDA - 13.5 points is not enough respect, should be favored by 21

    WEST VIRGINIA

    Penn State


    ARKANSAS

    Connecticut

    CINCINNATI

    ALABAMA

    WISCONSIN

    UCLA

    CCSU

    Wil L

    ReplyDelete
  19. Hey BCAlum-nice ESPN breakdown on awful BC, eh? By the looks of it, nobody in Boston cares about BC. Sounds about right! After Ryan leaves, will that 1-AA calibur team be able to win 4 games?

    It's OK BCAlum/Vinny. There are lots of chubby losers like you on these message boards. Well, not really...

    ReplyDelete
  20. week 4 results

    1. kooch 9-2
    2. Chip 7-4
    3. SeanO's ghost 6-5
    sturge-rock 6-5
    seano 6-5
    pete 6-5
    ian 6-5
    8. alex 5-6
    Dan 5-6
    Will L 5-6
    11. Vinny 4-7
    sammy 4-7
    13. kevin 3-8
    14. caleb 2-9

    overall standings
    1. Ian 27
    SeanO's Ghost 27
    Chip 27
    Kooch 27
    5. Sammy 23
    Vinny from East Haven 23
    7. DetroitTigersHater 21
    8. sturge-rock 18
    9. Kevin 17
    10. Wil L 16
    11. Alex 16
    12. Pete 15
    13. Caleb Mandrake 12
    14. Dan 10
    15. Steve P 8

    ReplyDelete